International Wind Energy Development 2009 - BTM

olivenny

Contents
Contents ................................................................................................................................................ i
Tables .................................................................................................................................................. iii
Figures ................................................................................................................................................. iv
Abbreviations and technical units ...................................................................................................... v
Preface ................................................................................................................................................ vii
Executive summary ............................................................................................................................. xi
1. Introduction ...................................................................................................................................... 1
1.1 Methodology .......................................................................................................................... 1
1.2 Sources ................................................................................................................................ 1
1.3 Major events in the wind industry .......................................................................................... 1
2. Market Development in 2009 - Demand side .................................................................................. 9
2.1 Status at end of 2009 ............................................................................................................ 9
2.2 The offshore market in 2009 ............................................................................................... 19
2.3 Trends in established markets ............................................................................................ 21
2.4 The Top 10 markets in the world ......................................................................................... 24
2.5 Commercial MW technology in the market .......................................................................... 25
3. Supply side of the market in 2009 ................................................................................................. 27
3.1 The Top 10 largest manufacturers ...................................................................................... 27
3.2 Trends in the competitive market ........................................................................................ 34
4. Customers in the market ................................................................................................................ 37
4.1 Shift in the customer base ................................................................................................... 37
4.2 Changes caused by the 2008/2009 financial crisis ............................................................. 38
4.3 Market presence of utilities, IPPs and Developers .............................................................. 39
4.4 Targets and project pipelines of main players ..................................................................... 41
4.5 Wind farm players with potential ......................................................................................... 42
4.6 New entrants ....................................................................................................................... 44
5. Market forecasts and estimates .................................................................................................... 45
5.1 Market forecast for development up to 2014 ....................................................................... 47
5.1.1 Value of the forecast capacity up to 2014 .................................................................... 60
5.1.2 Emerging markets ........................................................................................................ 61
5.2 Market forecast for offshore development up to 2014 ......................................................... 62
5.3 Expectations and predictions for development 2015-2019.................................................. 64
5.4 Geopolitical issues: The UN climate negotiations and EU energy policy ............................ 68
5.4.1 The UN Climate Negotiations and the Kyoto Protocol ................................................. 69
5.4.2 European energy policy and regulation ........................................................................ 70
6. Penetration of wind power electricity and tariffs ......................................................................... 73
6.1 Electricity produced by wind energy in selected countries .................................................. 73
6.1.1 The contribution from wind energy in a global electricity context ................................. 74
6.2 Feed-in Tariffs in selected countries ................................................................................... 76
7. The outcome of COP-15 and its impact on wind power development ...................................... 81
7.1 Introduction .......................................................................................................................... 81
7.2 The Copenhagen Accord .................................................................................................... 81
7.3 Comments from the international community ...................................................................... 83
7.4 Responses from participants at COP-15 by the end of January 2010 on targets. .............. 84
7.5 Preliminary commitments/responses in a wind power context ............................................ 87
7.6 Conclusion ........................................................................................................................... 88
Appendices ........................................................................................................................................ 91
A: Annually installed capacity and market shares in major markets (2009) .............................. 91
B: Profiles of wind turbine manufacturers ................................................................................ 115
C: Profiles of major sub-suppliers ........................................................................................... 118
D: Profiles of wind farm owners/operators/developers ............................................................ 122
E: The Copenhagen Accord .................................................................................................... 126
Index .................................................................................................................................................. 129

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